Despite all signs pointing to social platforms as time-sucking maelstroms and phones as anti-dream machines, this year I’ve decided to experiment with posting more of what I actually think about in public. It feels fitting to start this endeavor by contributing to the common pool of predictions for the next decade. Enjoy.
A non-exhaustive list:
- Changes in understanding of genetics and general epistemological shifts in biotech discredit the overarching mainstream narrative of Darwinian evolution.
- Panspermia becomes legitimate discourse.
- Explicitly sacred or blessed objects become the new artisanal consumer object: app subscription magicware.
- The dominant trend becomes prepper medievalism; aesthetics can be typified along a single continuum between specific and generic.
- Two or three AR games rewire 40% of humanity’s social graph.
- The distinction between financial and social software applications totally disappears.
- Price will be so absolutely identified with objects and information that currency will function as an infrastructural layer more than as an explicit medium of exchange.
- New space technology will suddenly exist; odd partnerships arise, e.g. ESA tries to partner on initiatives more often with the CNSA.
- There are increasingly visible plays for global government alterior to existing institutions; outer space and spectrum become the venue for this negotiation, with incentive alignments like the U.S. and Luxembourg, etc., plus Russia and China.
- Nations will continue electing genocidal leadership parties. (N.B. with dismantled healthcare systems, descriptors like “right” need to be more direct.)
- Communities are atomized along climate zones.
- There are pan-city climate zones.
- A “number” rating emerges that defines average per capita sustenance based on arable land zones; some governments (usually post-colonial) try to enforce this.
- Millennials and younger generations that still even see a political arena, see a theory of political change in shifts at an ontological (and often virtual) reality base-layer rather than electoral politics at scale.
- Still, some believe a new political party is possible.
- Most mountains stay mountains.
Image: Depiction of lunar eclipse by Zakariya ibn Muhammad Qazwini (ca. 1203-1283), Walters Museum Collection